光伏周价格 | 多晶硅控产持续挺价，下游跟涨动能已显不足

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current trends in the photovoltaic industry, highlighting price stability in the face of rising costs and the impact of supply and demand dynamics on various segments of the market [4][10][14]. Group 1: Polysilicon - Polysilicon prices are expected to remain strong due to production control signals and a significant inventory of 400,000 tons, with companies showing a strong willingness to maintain prices [4][6]. - The downstream market is experiencing low transaction volumes due to high inventory levels in the crystal pulling segment, leading to a lack of purchasing motivation among downstream enterprises [5]. - The price of polysilicon has reached 55 RMB per kilogram, with expectations for further increases in the future [6]. Group 2: Silicon Wafers - Silicon wafer inventory is currently around 16 GW, with some leading companies planning significant production cuts as the holiday approaches, while most maintain high operating rates [8]. - Demand is structurally differentiated, with 183N and 210N sizes in a state of supply-demand balance, while 210R shows weaker demand and stable prices [9]. - Overall, prices for silicon wafers and downstream battery cells are nearing the limits of market acceptance, making further price increases unlikely in the short term [10]. Group 3: Photovoltaic Cells - The inventory levels for battery cells remain healthy, with specialized manufacturers maintaining around 5 days of stock [10]. - Strong demand persists in the overseas market for 183N, and 210N orders remain robust, driven by pre-holiday stocking activities [11]. - Battery cell prices are expected to remain high due to strong demand and cost pressures, but there is a risk of price corrections post-holiday as stocking demand subsides [12]. Group 4: Photovoltaic Modules - Current module prices are stable, but rising upstream costs are squeezing margins, leading to production cuts among some leading manufacturers due to insufficient orders [14]. - The industry is facing stricter production and sales limits as part of a self-regulatory effort to stabilize prices across the supply chain [15].