【周观点】9月第2周乘用车环比+4.9%，继续看好汽车板块

Investment Highlights - The core point of the article is the performance of the automotive sector, with a notable increase in compulsory insurance registrations, reaching 450,000 units in the second week of September, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 24.9% and a month-on-month increase of 4.9% [10][50] - The automotive sub-sectors showed varied performance, with SW automotive parts leading at +4.3%, followed by SW automotive at +3.0%, and SW passenger vehicles at +1.9%. In contrast, SW commercial passenger vehicles and SW commercial cargo vehicles saw declines of -0.5% and -1.2%, respectively [10][11] Industry Changes - Key industry developments include the official launch dates for several new models: Li Auto's i6 on September 26, the launch of the Xiangjie S9T with 10,000 pre-orders in 72 hours, and Geely's Galaxy M9 with over 23,000 pre-orders [4][10] - Additionally, Xiaoma Zhixing announced its entry into the Singapore market, partnering with ComfortDelGro Corporation to deploy autonomous vehicles and services, while its Robobus received Belgium's first federal-level L4 autonomous driving test license [4][10] Investment Opportunities - Three main investment themes are identified: 1. AI Smart Vehicle Line: Focus on the Robotaxi industry chain, including integrated models like Tesla and XPeng, and technology providers such as Horizon Robotics and Baidu [6][12] 2. AI Robotics Line: Emphasis on preferred auto parts suppliers like Top Group and Junsheng Electronics [12] 3. Dividend & Good Pattern Line: Highlighting opportunities in buses (Yutong Bus), heavy trucks (China National Heavy Duty Truck Group), and two-wheelers (Chunfeng Power) [7][12] Market Performance - The automotive sector's A-H shares performed well, with automotive parts, particularly robotics, showing the best gains, led by Junsheng Electronics and Xinquan [5][11] - The overall market sentiment remains positive, with new car orders being a key driver for growth, despite some mixed performance in passenger vehicle demand [5][11] Sales Data - The total number of passenger vehicle insurance registrations reached 450,000 units, with new energy vehicles accounting for 269,000 units, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 23.1% and a penetration rate of 59.7% [50][52] - The forecast for 2025 anticipates a retail sales volume of 23.7 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.1% [51][52]