为何是模拟芯片？

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights China's initiation of an anti-dumping investigation into imported analog chips from the U.S., marking a significant escalation in the ongoing semiconductor trade tensions between the two countries. This investigation focuses on specific analog chip categories, indicating that the chip conflict is expanding beyond high-end GPUs and advanced process logic chips to include analog chips as well [2][3][20]. Group 1: Investigation Details - The Ministry of Commerce announced the investigation on September 13, 2025, based on a request from the Jiangsu Semiconductor Industry Association, targeting analog chips from four major U.S. companies: Broadcom, Texas Instruments (TI), Onsemi, and Analog Devices (ADI) [2][3]. - The investigation will cover the period from January 1, 2024, to December 31, 2024, with a damage investigation period from January 1, 2022, to December 31, 2024, and is expected to conclude by September 13, 2026, unless extended [7]. Group 2: Market Context - The global analog chip market is projected to reach $79.433 billion in 2024, with China accounting for approximately $28 billion (around 200 billion RMB), representing nearly one-third of the global market [3]. - The share of the investigated products in China's total imports of similar products has been increasing, with proportions of 47.81%, 53.06%, and 62.14% from 2022 to 2024, indicating a growing reliance on these imports [4]. Group 3: Price Trends and Impact - The average price of the investigated products has been declining significantly, from 3.36 RMB per unit in 2022 to 1.62 RMB per unit in 2024, a cumulative decrease of 51.77% [5]. - Domestic analog chip manufacturers have been forced to lower their prices in response, with their weighted average prices dropping by 27.38% from 2022 to 2024 [5][6]. Group 4: Financial Health of Domestic Manufacturers - Domestic manufacturers are experiencing financial strain, with pre-tax profits declining and some companies entering a state of severe losses, which increased by 7.05% in 2024 compared to 2023 [6]. - The labor productivity has decreased by 27.41%, and the inventory levels have risen by 21.39% from 2022 to 2024, indicating operational challenges [6]. Group 5: Reactions from U.S. Companies - Following the announcement of the investigation, stock prices of major U.S. analog chip companies fell, with TI down 3.1%, Onsemi down 2%, and ADI down 3% on September 15 [8][10]. - TI, being a major player in the analog chip market, is particularly vulnerable as approximately 20% of its revenue comes from customers based in China, which could face increased costs if trade measures are implemented [10]. Group 6: Opportunities for Domestic Firms - The anti-dumping investigation presents a unique opportunity for domestic analog chip manufacturers to capture market share, especially in the context of growing demand in sectors like electric vehicles and industrial control [12][14]. - Companies like 圣邦股份 (Sankang Micro), 纳芯微 (Naxin Micro), and 思瑞浦 (Sirius) have shown significant revenue growth and are well-positioned to benefit from potential shifts in the market dynamics [16][17][18].