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【基础化工】持续推动煤炭清洁高效利用,现代煤化工发展可期——行业周报(20250915-0919)(赵乃迪/蔡嘉豪/胡星月)
光大证券研究·2025-09-21 23:04

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the Chinese government's strong support for the development of modern coal chemical industry, particularly in Xinjiang, highlighting the importance of clean and efficient coal utilization as part of the broader strategy for energy security and ecological sustainability [4][5]. Group 1: Policy Support - The State Council released a white paper on the successful practices of the Party's governance in Xinjiang, focusing on the development of modern coal chemical industry and the need for a low-carbon path tailored to Xinjiang's unique conditions [4]. - The government aims to establish a comprehensive clean and efficient coal utilization system by 2030, enhancing coal conversion efficiency and pollution control [5]. Group 2: Industry Growth and Projections - In 2024, China's modern coal chemical industry is projected to have a coal conversion capacity of 138 million tons of standard coal per year, with a conversion volume of approximately 120 million tons, replacing an equivalent of 38.1 million tons of oil and gas [6]. - The total revenue for the modern coal chemical industry in 2024 is expected to reach approximately 202.66 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.2%, while total profits are projected to be around 11.93 billion yuan, a significant increase of 178.1% [6]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The DMTO-Ⅲ technology has reduced methanol consumption to 2.66 tons per ton in the coal-to-olefins sector, with total domestic coal-to-olefins capacity expected to reach 13.42 million tons per year by the end of 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 5.6% [7]. - The coal chemical industry is advancing towards high-end and green development through technological upgrades and capacity expansion, ensuring national energy security [7].