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国泰海通|策略:聚焦科技新催化与反内卷政策加码
国泰海通证券研究·2025-09-22 09:43

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a slight recovery in thematic trading activity, with most hot themes transitioning from gains to losses, while the domestic semiconductor theme remains active. It emphasizes the focus on emerging technologies, anti-involution, and expanding domestic demand as core lines of investment [1]. Thematic Summaries Theme 1: Domestic Computing Power - The capital market is accelerating financing for hard technology, with domestic AI chip company Moore Threads entering the IPO review stage, aiming to raise 8 billion yuan for self-controlled AI chip investments. The development of artificial intelligence in China is moving towards large-scale commercialization, which will further drive investment demand in computing power infrastructure and accelerate the construction of the domestic computing power ecosystem. Recommended investments include domestic computing power companies benefiting from increasing penetration rates and AI application companies benefiting from improved model efficiency and reduced costs [2]. Theme 2: Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing low-cost, high-reliability, and large-scale development driven by both supply and demand. It has become a key area of global technological competition, with low-orbit satellite frequency resources becoming scarce. Multiple satellite constellations in China are entering large-scale networking phases, with breakthroughs in reusable rocket technology and large liquid rocket technology. The demand explosion, technological innovation, and scenario breakthroughs are creating opportunities for large-scale development in China's commercial aerospace industry. Recommended investments include rocket manufacturing, satellite payloads, and new infrastructure benefiting from increased transport capacity, as well as satellite communication, navigation, remote sensing, and space tourism [3]. Theme 3: Anti-Involution - An article by General Secretary Xi Jinping emphasizes the need to address low-price disorderly competition among enterprises. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has pointed out that breaking "involution-style" competition is essential for achieving high-quality development in sectors like photovoltaics. The current release of capacity and significant increase in installed capacity in China's photovoltaic industry have led to a substantial decline in industry chain prices. The new energy sector, including energy storage, lithium batteries, and photovoltaics, is expected to benefit from concentrated capacity release and improving demand trends. Recommended investments include energy storage, lithium batteries, and photovoltaics, as well as sectors like pig farming, papermaking, chemicals, and aviation facing demand constraints [4]. Theme 4: Embodied Intelligence - The Minister of Science and Technology has indicated that efforts are underway to accelerate the application of humanoid robots in various scenarios such as automotive manufacturing, logistics, and power inspection. Tesla is set to hold meetings related to its Optimus robot, while Yuzhu Technology is initiating listing guidance, and Zhiyuan plans to acquire a controlling stake in a listed company, accelerating capital operations and financing processes. The industry is poised for large-scale development, with various forms of robots being produced on a large scale in China. Recommended investments include core components benefiting from technological upgrades, such as sensors and actuators, as well as manufacturers capable of large-scale production [5].