中金点睛·2025-09-23 00:14Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the competitive geoeconomic strategy of the Trump administration, emphasizing the importance of economic security as a core component of national security, particularly focusing on the manufacturing sector and strategic industries [2][3][4]. Group 1: Competitive Geoeconomic Strategy - The Trump administration's geoeconomic strategy has shifted towards a more competitive stance, challenging globalization and emphasizing economic goals over political ones [4][5][10]. - The strategy aims to ensure economic scale advantages based on a specific industrial structure, particularly in high-tech manufacturing [15][16]. - The focus on economic security reflects a broader trend where economic and national security concerns are increasingly intertwined, leading to a more aggressive use of tariffs and investment policies [12][15]. Group 2: Manufacturing and Strategic Industries - The article highlights the significance of reinforcing the manufacturing base in the U.S. economy, noting that while the manufacturing sector's GDP share is low, its total output remains substantial [17][19]. - The U.S. military-industrial complex is particularly emphasized, with American firms leading globally in military revenue, indicating a strong manufacturing foundation [19][21]. - The competitive strategy includes a focus on strategic industries that can provide both micro and macro geoeconomic power, particularly in high-tech sectors [36][37]. Group 3: Policy Implementation and Investment - The Trump administration has implemented various policies to promote domestic manufacturing, including tariffs and incentives for foreign direct investment (FDI) [14][25]. - The article notes a significant increase in FDI commitments during the Trump 2.0 period, particularly in the semiconductor industry, indicating a shift towards attracting foreign investment [25][26]. - The approach contrasts with the Biden administration's focus on political alliances and green energy, showcasing a divergence in economic strategies [10][11][40]. Group 4: Implications for Global Trade - The competitive geoeconomic strategy has led to a decentralization of global supply chains, with U.S. trade patterns shifting towards neighboring countries like Canada and Mexico [26][28]. - The article suggests that the U.S. strategy has resulted in increased exports from allies while potentially weakening China's geoeconomic power due to the outflow of manufacturing capabilities [31][32]. - The emphasis on "friend-shoring" and "on-shoring" reflects a broader trend of reshaping global trade dynamics in response to geopolitical tensions [26][28]. Group 5: Importance of Industrial Policy - The article argues for a greater emphasis on industrial policy, particularly demand-side policies, to enhance economic security and competitiveness [42][43]. - It highlights the need for targeted government interventions to influence economic structures and maintain strategic advantages in key industries [44][46]. - The increasing use of industrial policies globally since 2018 underscores the urgency for nations to adapt to the evolving geoeconomic landscape [48][50].