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读研报 | 回流的外资,可能会买什么?
中泰证券资管·2025-09-23 11:32

Core Viewpoint - The recent phenomenon of foreign capital inflow into A-shares has been a significant topic of discussion, indicating a growing interest from global investors in the Chinese stock market [2][4]. Group 1: Foreign Capital Inflow Data - From May to the end of July, long-term stable foreign institutional funds accumulated inflows of approximately 67.7 billion HKD, while short-term flexible foreign institutional funds saw inflows of about 16.2 billion HKD [2]. - During the week of August 14-20, the net inflow of foreign capital for allocation reached a new high since 2025, totaling 6.98 billion CNY, with active allocation foreign capital turning to net inflow for the first time since mid-October 2024, amounting to 140 million CNY [2]. - In the first week of September 2025, foreign capital net inflow into the Chinese mainland market was approximately 5.5 billion USD, with stock funds contributing 5.02 billion USD, primarily from passive funds [2]. Group 2: Foreign Investment Preferences - Foreign capital tends to favor industries with global competitive advantages and strong growth potential, such as innovative pharmaceuticals, leading internet companies in Hong Kong, the Nvidia supply chain, and renewable energy [4]. - Since July, foreign capital has shown a significant preference for sectors like technology, healthcare, and materials, particularly focusing on companies within the AI industry due to their clear technological advancements and profit growth expectations [4]. - The preference for core assets with local market characteristics is evident, with foreign capital increasing allocations in sectors like automotive, banking, and electronics in A-shares, while favoring software and services in Hong Kong stocks [5]. Group 3: Structural Characteristics of Foreign Investment - The structural characteristics of foreign capital allocation in A-shares are focused on high-growth technology, high-dividend assets, and high-end manufacturing [4]. - Foreign investors have shown a preference for stocks with strong fundamentals, as indicated by the higher return on equity (ROE) of foreign-held stocks in A-shares (17.2%) compared to the overall market [5]. - The trend of foreign capital favoring stocks with lower AH premium suggests a strategic approach to maximize returns while minimizing risks associated with market fluctuations [5].