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国泰海通 · 晨报0924|固收:9.22会议与14天OMO,货币“呵护”而非边际宽松
国泰海通证券研究·2025-09-23 10:05

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the recent monetary policy adjustments, particularly regarding the 14-day reverse repurchase agreements (OMO), indicate a protective stance rather than a shift towards marginal easing of monetary policy [2][5]. Summary by Sections Monetary Policy Adjustments - On September 19, the central bank announced a change to the 14-day reverse repo bidding method to "multiple price bidding," but the central bank governor clarified on September 22 that this does not involve adjustments to short-term policies [2]. - The adjustment of the 14-day reverse repo aligns with previous strategies and does not signal a clear intention to lower interest rates, maintaining a consistent approach to monetary policy [3]. Market Impact - The actual pricing ability of the 14-day reverse repo in the bond market is limited, and it is likely to continue serving as a tool for addressing special periods such as holidays [4]. - Historical data shows that the central bank typically uses the 14-day reverse repo before major holidays, indicating its role in smoothing out liquidity around these times [4]. Future Outlook - Despite the central bank's current protective stance on interbank liquidity, it does not imply a shift towards more accommodative monetary policy [5]. - The likelihood of interest rate cuts remains low unless there are significant market fluctuations or rapid currency appreciation, suggesting that the bond market may not benefit from new policy measures [5].