“十五五”的新信号——政策周观察第48期

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of the "15th Five-Year Plan" in addressing external uncertainties and enhancing China's economic, technological, and comprehensive national strength to achieve high-quality development [2][10]. Economic Growth Requirements - The report highlights the need for clear economic growth targets to guide the market and boost confidence, especially in the context of strategic competition among major powers [2][10]. - It suggests that the potential growth rate of China's future development depends on the improvement of total factor productivity [3][10]. Security and Risk Prevention - The article stresses the importance of coordinating development and security, particularly in food, energy, and financial sectors, to mitigate risks [3][10]. Technology and Industry Innovation - It advocates for technological and industrial innovation as a strategic foundation for high-quality development and a means to counter international competition [3][10]. - The proposal includes establishing a total factor productivity indicator system within the "15th Five-Year Plan" [3][10]. Expanding Domestic Demand - The report notes that China maintains a high savings rate, allowing for sustained investment growth, particularly in public welfare sectors [3][11]. - It emphasizes the need to increase effective supply, especially high-quality goods and services, and to focus on the service industry to boost consumption [3][11]. Social Welfare and Livelihood - Recommendations include increasing the proportion of disposable income, consumption, and fiscal spending on social welfare during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [3][11]. - The report calls for significant improvements in social security benefits for urban and rural residents and reforms in income distribution systems [3][11]. Legislative Work - The article outlines the need for legislative efforts in various sectors, including finance, technology, and social security, to support the goals of the "15th Five-Year Plan" [4][12]. - It suggests revising laws related to consumption, taxation, and social services to enhance the legal framework supporting economic growth [4][12]. International Relations - The report discusses recent developments in China-U.S. relations, including a constructive phone call between the Chinese President and the U.S. President, emphasizing the need for cooperation and mutual respect [4][15]. - It highlights ongoing discussions regarding economic issues, including the TikTok situation, aiming for a collaborative resolution [4][15][17]. Industry Policies - The article mentions the government's focus on implementing domestic product standards in procurement policies to support local industries [5][16]. - It also notes the acceleration of research and industrialization of advanced battery technologies, such as solid-state and sodium-ion batteries [5][16].