Workflow
[9月24日]指数估值数据(大盘继续上涨;5.9星一周年,市场还会继续向上吗;自动止盈功能上线)
银行螺丝钉·2025-09-24 13:38

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant recovery of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks over the past year, highlighting the shift from extreme undervaluation to a more balanced valuation, driven primarily by improved liquidity and some signs of fundamental recovery. Group 1: Market Performance - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks have shown strong performance recently, with overall increases noted [1][6] - Small-cap stocks have outperformed larger stocks in the recent rally [3] - The technology sector, particularly in Hong Kong, has seen substantial gains, with tech stocks rising over 2% [7] Group 2: Yearly Comparison - A year ago, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks were at a historical low valuation of approximately 5.9 stars [8][14] - Over the past year, A-shares and Hong Kong stocks have risen significantly, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 43% and tech stocks up by 66% [11] - The global stock market has seen an overall increase of 17% during the same period [10] Group 3: Valuation Insights - The current valuation of A-shares is around 4.2 stars, indicating a recovery from the previous year's extreme undervaluation [9][21] - A-shares are still trading at a valuation approximately 50% lower than the global market average [16] - The article notes that the valuation gap has narrowed to about 10% compared to global averages, suggesting less room for further valuation expansion [31] Group 4: Market Drivers - The recent market rally has been primarily driven by improved liquidity rather than strong fundamental growth [21] - A-shares have shown signs of profit recovery, with earnings growth for listed companies improving, albeit still below historical averages [27][28] - The article emphasizes that sustained market growth will depend on continued earnings growth rather than just valuation recovery [37] Group 5: Future Outlook - The potential for further market gains exists if earnings continue to grow alongside reasonable valuations [41] - The article suggests that if the Federal Reserve maintains a low-interest-rate environment, it could provide additional support for market growth [41] - The focus on active selection and enhanced index strategies is highlighted as a way to navigate the post-undervaluation phase [43]