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丁祖昱:锚定区域核心,政策与人口驱动的阿联酋投资新机遇 | 中东高峰论坛后记
克而瑞地产研究·2025-09-25 09:05

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the investment potential in the UAE's real estate market, particularly focusing on Dubai and Abu Dhabi as key regional centers for overseas real estate investment [2][3]. Group 1: Economic and Demographic Advantages - The UAE's macroeconomic structure is robust, with a projected GDP growth of 4% in 2024, reaching 1.78 trillion dirhams, and further growth expected in 2025 and 2026 [4]. - The non-oil GDP is expected to account for 75.5% of the total, indicating a diversified economy that supports the real estate sector, which contributes around 7.8% to the non-oil economy [4]. - The UAE's population is projected to exceed 12.5 million by 2024, with a 23% increase from 2023, and a significant portion of the population being expatriates, which drives housing demand [4]. Group 2: Investment Attractiveness - Dubai offers low transaction costs for property purchases, with only a 4% registration fee and no land or property taxes, making it highly attractive for investors [5]. - The 2025 Golden Visa policy will further ease investment conditions, reducing the down payment requirement from 50% to 0%, enhancing the appeal for global investors [5]. - The absence of foreign exchange controls allows for free capital movement, significantly increasing investment convenience [5]. Group 3: Market Performance and Growth Potential - Abu Dhabi's real estate market shows significant growth potential, with a 30% year-on-year increase in residential transaction value in the first half of 2025, reaching 21.853 billion dirhams [6]. - The average residential price in Abu Dhabi rose by 17% to 3.3 million dirhams per unit, indicating a strong market performance [6]. - Dubai's real estate market is characterized by a 22% increase in transaction volume and a 40% increase in total transaction value, amounting to 326.9 billion dirhams in the first half of 2025 [7][8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The UAE's real estate investment landscape is expected to benefit from ongoing policy improvements, economic diversification, and a growing expatriate population, which is projected to increase by over 10% annually in the next five years [9]. - The high proportion of young adults (ages 25-54) in the population supports sustained housing demand and a thriving rental market [4][9].