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[9月25日]指数估值数据(牛市中遇到回调怎么办;红利指数估值表更新;指数日报更新)
银行螺丝钉·2025-09-25 14:00

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing style rotation, with growth styles currently performing strongly while value styles are lagging behind. The recent rise in the ChiNext index indicates a shift in market dynamics, suggesting potential investment opportunities in growth sectors [4][10][11]. Market Performance - The market saw a rise during the day, reaching a peak of 4.1 stars, but closed at 4.2 stars, indicating a slight pullback [1][2]. - Large-cap stocks showed minor gains, while small-cap stocks experienced slight declines [3]. - The growth style overall is on the rise, with significant increases in the ChiNext index recently, which had been undervalued for a long time [4][7][8]. Valuation Insights - The ChiNext index is approaching a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 45 times, indicating it is nearing overvaluation [9]. - Value styles, such as free cash flow and Hong Kong-Shanghai dividend stocks, have seen increases, with the latter rising 7-8% this year, marking the fifth consecutive year of growth [12][13]. - The average turnover rate in A-shares is significantly high, suggesting that many retail investors hold stocks for less than a month, which may not be sufficient to weather market corrections [42][43]. Investment Behavior - Historical data shows that during bull markets, it is common to experience pullbacks, and the market often exhibits a pattern of sharp rises followed by corrections [18][24]. - Attempting to time the market by selling before a correction and buying back at lower prices is challenging and often leads to missed opportunities [27][28]. - Frequent trading and chasing market trends can significantly reduce investor returns, with studies indicating that high turnover rates correlate with lower average profits [52]. Long-term Investment Strategy - Long-term stock and fund investments are closely tied to valuation and earnings growth, with valuation primarily affecting short-term returns and earnings growth driving long-term performance [44][46]. - Investors are encouraged to focus on controlling costs and enhancing revenue, akin to running a business, to achieve better investment outcomes [49][50]. Dividend and Cash Flow Indices - The article includes a valuation table for various dividend and free cash flow indices, providing insights into their earnings yields, P/E ratios, and other financial metrics for reference [51][65].