Group 1 - The total scale of public funds in China has surpassed 36 trillion yuan, reaching 36.25 trillion yuan by the end of August, with a monthly increase of 1.18 trillion yuan [1] - The scale of bond funds has slightly decreased by 28.5 billion yuan due to the stock-bond seesaw effect [1] - The U.S. GDP growth for the second quarter has been revised up to 3.8%, the highest in nearly two years, indicating stronger inflationary pressures with a PCE price index of 2.6% [1][7] Group 2 - The U.S. stock market indices have experienced three consecutive declines, with the 2-year Treasury yield rising and prices for gold and crude oil increasing [1] - The financing balance in the Chinese market increased by 14.08 billion yuan to 24,141.23 billion yuan, indicating a more volatile market in September compared to July and August [2][11] - The market is currently in a high-level consolidation phase after a prolonged period of rising, with a divergence in bullish and bearish forces [2][11] Group 3 - The international oil market is affected by Russia's partial ban on diesel exports and extended ban on gasoline exports, leading to fuel shortages in certain regions [3][14] - The U.S. initial jobless claims have decreased to 218,000, the lowest since July, indicating a tightening labor market [3][14] - The International Energy Agency reports a significant acceleration in the decline of global oil and gas field production, primarily due to increased reliance on shale oil and deep-sea resources [3][14] Group 4 - The glass futures market continues to rebound, with production enterprise inventories decreasing by 1.42 million heavy boxes to 53.29 million heavy boxes [4][18] - The soda ash futures market has also seen a slight rebound, with inventories down by 54,000 tons to 1.444 million tons [4][18] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has released a plan to stabilize growth in ten key industries, leading to positive expectations for future supply changes in the glass industry [4][18]
公募基金规模首破36万亿 -20250926
申银万国期货研究·2025-09-26 00:49