半导体行业观察·2025-09-26 01:11Group 1 - The global semiconductor manufacturing equipment spending is projected to reach $33.07 billion in Q2 2025, representing a 23% increase compared to Q2 2024 [2] - Mainland China's spending is the highest at $11.36 billion, accounting for 34% of total spending, but it has decreased by 7% compared to the previous year [2] - Taiwan's spending is the second highest at $8.77 billion, with a significant growth of 125% year-over-year, driven mainly by TSMC's capital expenditure increase of 62% in the first half of 2025 [2] - South Korea ranks third with spending of $5.91 billion, showing a year-over-year growth of 31% [2] Group 2 - North America experienced the fastest growth in semiconductor equipment spending in 2024, with Q4 spending reaching $4.98 billion, a 163% increase from Q1 2024 [4] - However, North America's spending is projected to decline to $2.93 billion in Q1 2025, a 41% decrease from Q4 2024, and further drop to $2.76 billion in Q2 2025 [5] - The decline in spending is attributed to delays in planned wafer fabrication plant constructions, including Intel's Ohio facility completion pushed from 2025 to 2031 [5] Group 3 - Japan's semiconductor equipment spending in Q2 2025 is projected to be $2.68 billion, reflecting a 66% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [5] - Europe is expected to see a decline in spending to $0.72 billion, down 23% year-over-year, while the rest of the world (ROW) is projected to decrease by 28% to $0.87 billion [5] Group 4 - The total semiconductor capital expenditure (CapEx) for 2025 is forecasted to be $160 billion, a 3% increase from $155 billion in 2024 [6] - Intel anticipates its 2026 CapEx to be lower than the expected $18 billion for 2025, while Micron plans to increase its spending in the 2026 fiscal year [6] - TSMC's CapEx for 2025 is estimated to be between $38 billion and $42 billion, with projections for 2026 to rise to $45 billion and $50 billion in 2027 [6] Group 5 - The CHIPS Act, passed in 2022, aims to promote the development of the U.S. semiconductor manufacturing industry, with $30 billion in funding expected to be allocated soon [7] - The U.S. government has invested $8.9 billion in Intel, acquiring a 9.9% stake, with part of the funding coming from the CHIPS Act [7] - There are considerations for the U.S. government to take equity stakes in other companies receiving funds from the CHIPS Act, indicating potential modifications to the original legislation [7]