【光大研究每日速递】20250926

Group 1 - As of the end of August 2025, the total bond custody amount in China reached 174.54 trillion yuan, with a net increase of 1.51 trillion yuan month-on-month, although this was a decrease of 0.24 trillion yuan compared to the end of July [5] - The Democratic Republic of the Congo announced an extension of the cobalt export ban until October 15, 2025, transitioning to a quota system thereafter, with the country accounting for 76.3% of global cobalt production in 2024 [5] - USAC received a five-year exclusive contract from the US Department of Defense worth up to $245 million for the supply of antimony metal ingots, highlighting the strategic value of antimony [5] Group 2 - In the first eight months of 2025, the export growth rates for electric tools, hand tools, and lawn mowers were 1%, -5%, and 45% respectively, while forklifts, machine tools, and industrial sewing machines saw growth rates of 1%, 14%, and 16% respectively [7] - The export growth rates for major engineering machinery categories, including excavators, tractors, and mining machinery, were 14%, 25%, 30%, and 23% respectively [7] Group 3 - The global market size for brain-computer interfaces is expected to reach $7.63 billion by 2029, driven by policy support and demand from conditions like stroke and ALS [8] - The expected dividend yield for Gree Electric exceeded 7% in 2025, with a historical trend indicating a bottoming characteristic, supported by a projected profit of 33 billion yuan and a 52% cash dividend rate [8]