机构评级|云栖大会后花旗点评阿里：推动AI革命从AGI向ASI转型，维持买入评级

Core Strategy - Alibaba is transitioning from General Artificial Intelligence (AGI) to Super Artificial Intelligence (ASI), with a clear development path outlined by CEO Wu Yongming, which includes three stages: Emergent Intelligence, AI Agency, and AI Self-Enhancement [3] - To support this transition, Alibaba has set two key initiatives, including a significant increase in global data center capacity [6] AI and Cloud Integration - Alibaba Cloud's CTO Zhou Jingren emphasized that the integration of large models with cloud computing will be a core competitive advantage, with five major product upgrades announced [3] - The Tongyi Qianwen model family, the largest globally, has served over 1 million enterprise clients and includes over 300 open-source models and 170,000 derivative models [3] - The flagship model Qwen3-Max, with over 1 trillion parameters, was launched, along with several other upgraded models [3] Multi-Modal Content Generation - The Tongyi Wanxiang platform has generated 390 million images and 70 million videos, with the new Wan2.5-Preview version supporting high-quality narrative and AI-generated audio-video content [4] Audio Model Series - A new series of audio models, including Fun-ASR for speech recognition and Fun-CosyVoice for speech synthesis, has been introduced to enhance multi-modal interaction [5][7] Agent Development - The Model Studio Agent platform simplifies agent development with low-code visual operations, resulting in a 15-fold increase in interaction volume over the past year [8] AI Infrastructure - Alibaba plans to increase global data center capacity tenfold by 2032, building on an existing capital expenditure target of 380 billion RMB to meet the growing demand for AI infrastructure [6] Valuation Logic and Key Data - Citi maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba, with a target price of $187 for US shares and HK$183 for Hong Kong shares, based on a sum-of-the-parts valuation method [2][10] - Key valuation metrics for different business segments include a P/E ratio of 12x for the e-commerce group and a P/S ratio of 5x for the cloud intelligence group [10] - As of September 23, 2025, Alibaba's US stock price is $163.08, with an expected total return rate of 15.9% [11]