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如何解读中美第四轮经贸会谈的结果︱重阳问答
重阳投资·2025-09-26 07:32

Core Viewpoint - The fourth round of China-U.S. economic and trade talks resulted in a constructive dialogue, focusing on resolving the TikTok issue, reducing investment barriers, and promoting economic cooperation [2][3]. Group 1: TikTok Issue - The resolution of the TikTok issue emerged as the core outcome of the recent economic talks, with the U.S. seeking a swift resolution as a key demand, especially with the upcoming midterm elections [3]. - A new agreement was signed by Trump to establish a TikTok U.S. data security company, allowing the U.S. to gain majority ownership at a lower valuation while ensuring transparency in user data and algorithm compliance [3]. - China retains less than 20% ownership and maintains control over core business operations, marking a significant easing of previous U.S. demands for outright sale or ban [3]. Group 2: Leadership Meeting - Both sides reached a consensus on facilitating a meeting between their leaders, with a phone call occurring on September 19, confirming a meeting during the APEC summit in November [4]. - For the U.S., this meeting is crucial to demonstrate cooperation amidst political pressure from the midterm elections, while for China, it serves as an opportunity to showcase strategic stability and advance specific economic topics [4]. - The effectiveness of the negotiation mechanism has improved, with four rounds of talks this year focusing on core issues, reducing the risk of negotiation breakdowns and enhancing efficiency [4]. Group 3: Overall Negotiation Mechanism - The established negotiation mechanism has proven effective, allowing for focused discussions on key issues, which benefits both nations and contributes to global stability [4]. - Despite ongoing strategic competition, this mechanism ensures a balance of localized negotiations without complete breakdowns, aligning with the interests of both countries [4].