Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut signals a shift in global macroeconomic conditions, prompting capital to flow towards emerging markets, particularly benefiting ETFs focused on the Asia-Pacific region [3][6][26]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to 4.00%-4.25%, marking its first rate cut of 2025 and the first since December 2024 [6][8]. - Market expectations indicate a 75% probability of three additional rate cuts by the end of the year, totaling a 75 basis point reduction [4][6]. - The decision reflects a response to weak employment data, with only 22,000 jobs added in August, significantly below expectations [9]. Group 2: Impact on Emerging Markets - The Fed's rate cut is expected to catalyze a reallocation of global capital, with a historical trend showing that rate cuts typically weaken the relative returns of dollar assets, driving investments towards emerging markets [9]. - The Southeast Asia Technology ETF has seen significant performance, with a 5% increase in September and a 24.2% rise over the past three months, benefiting directly from the Fed's rate cut expectations [11][15]. Group 3: Southeast Asia Technology ETF - The ETF's top holdings include major Southeast Asian internet companies like SEA, Grab, and Goto, which are positioned similarly to Chinese tech giants [13][15]. - The ETF's performance is supported by favorable local policies, such as Indonesia's nearly $1 billion economic stimulus plan and Thailand's interest rate cut to a three-year low of 1.50% [15]. Group 4: Asia-Pacific Select ETF - The Asia-Pacific Select ETF focuses on companies with strong ESG ratings and aims to capture opportunities in technology and cyclical recovery, achieving a 22.9% return over the past year [17][18]. - The ETF's top holdings include major firms like TSMC, Tencent, and Toyota, which provide stable cash flows and strong profitability [19]. Group 5: Market Outlook - The Fed's rate cut marks the beginning of a new phase in the global macro environment, with emerging market ETFs offering significant investment opportunities [26]. - Investors are encouraged to leverage the macroeconomic trend of rate cuts to identify growth opportunities across the Asia-Pacific region, effectively diversifying risks associated with single markets [26].
美联储降息周期下的环大陆ETF配置指南
市值风云·2025-09-26 10:09