金士顿传暂停DDR4/DDR5接单，DDR4内存现货已一'条'难求

Core Viewpoint - The DRAM market is experiencing significant fluctuations due to Kingston's suspension of DDR4 and DDR5 product orders, leading to supply shortages and price increases across the industry [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Kingston's decision to pause orders has resulted in a noticeable shortage in the terminal market, with DDR4 memory becoming increasingly difficult to obtain [1]. - The price of Kingston's DDR4 3600MHz 16GB memory module surged from 197 yuan to 267 yuan within a week, marking an increase of over 30%, with some channels reporting overall price hikes of 85% to 90% for DDR4 products [1][3]. - A rare price inversion occurred in late June 2025, where the price of DDR4 16Gb reached $12.3, surpassing DDR5's $6.05 [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Factors - Major manufacturers like Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron have shifted production from DDR4 to DDR5 and other high-bandwidth memory types, leading to a continuous supply gap for DDR4 [3]. - SK Hynix reduced its DDR4 production capacity from 30% to 20%, while Samsung plans to cease production of 8GB and 16GB DDR4 modules by the end of the year [3]. - The AI computing revolution is driving demand, with companies like Nvidia upgrading their AI server SSD configurations, significantly increasing storage needs [3]. Group 3: Opportunities for Domestic Players - As international giants reduce their product lines, domestic storage companies are poised to capture market share, with Omdia predicting that Chinese manufacturers could hold over 30% of the global DDR5 market by 2025, up from less than 5% [4]. - Domestic firms such as Demingli, Wanrun Technology, and Baiwei Storage are gaining attention in the capital markets due to their technological advancements amid rising prices [4]. Group 4: Consumer Guidance and Market Outlook - Channel partners emphasize that the price gap between DDR5 and DDR4 has narrowed, urging consumers to avoid chasing prices and to adapt to the technological upgrade trend [5]. - Current price increases are attributed to a combination of recovering demand, supply-demand rebalancing, and technological iteration, with expectations that the market will gradually return to rationality as production capacity adjusts [5].