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深度|谷歌前CEO:人形机器人或将由中国主导;世界将被廉价的中国机器人淹没,就像它将被廉价的中国电动汽车淹没一样

Core Insights - The article discusses the competition between the US and China in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), emphasizing the differing approaches and potential outcomes of this rivalry [3][4][5]. - Eric Schmidt highlights the importance of energy supply in the US's ability to leverage its advantages in AI and AGI, suggesting that without sufficient energy, the US may struggle to maintain its lead [5][8]. - The conversation also touches on the potential risks associated with AI, including misinformation, cybersecurity threats, and biological safety concerns, and the need for proactive measures to mitigate these risks [9][10][11]. AI Competition - The US is perceived to be pursuing advanced AI and AGI, while China focuses on applying AI across various products and services in a more traditional manner [4]. - Schmidt believes that the hardware restrictions imposed by the US on China will hinder China's competitiveness in the AI race [4]. - The US has advantages in software development, but China is expected to dominate in the robotics sector, similar to its success in electric vehicles [6][7]. Energy Constraints - The US faces significant energy supply challenges, which could limit its ability to fully utilize its advantages in AI and AGI [5][8]. - Schmidt notes that the US will need to build an additional 92 gigawatts of power generation capacity by 2030 to meet the demands of data centers, highlighting the urgency of addressing energy supply issues [8]. AI Risks and Mitigation - The article discusses the potential for AI-related disasters and the importance of learning from past crises to implement effective regulations and controls [9][10]. - Schmidt identifies misinformation, cybersecurity, and biological safety as key threats that need to be addressed proactively [10][11]. Recommendations for Founders - Schmidt advises founders to focus on rapid action and learning, emphasizing that the barriers to starting a company are lower than ever [16][17]. - He stresses the importance of building scalable platforms that can leverage network effects to create significant wealth for founders [19][20]. Historical Significance - The emergence of AI is compared to historical inventions like electricity and transportation, suggesting that the next decade will be crucial in shaping the future [21][22]. - Companies and nations that embrace AI will likely emerge as winners, while those that lag behind may face significant challenges [22].