【兴证计算机】2025年国庆假期备忘录

Core Viewpoint - The company maintains a bullish outlook on the computer industry for October, anticipating benefits from AI advancements and upcoming policy changes [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - The computer industry has shown relatively low growth in Q3 compared to other AI sectors, but October is expected to bring positive returns, with a historical probability of 53% for positive performance in this month since 2010 [1]. - The upcoming 20th Central Committee meeting on October 20 is expected to provide further policy support for the computer sector, which is sensitive to technological and policy changes [1]. Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The company continues to recommend investments in AI, domestic production, and financial technology, highlighting the rapid iteration of AI models that drive demand for computing power and applications [1]. - It is advised to focus on leading companies in the industry, those with significant marginal changes, and firms with favorable Q3 earnings expectations and valuation switching logic [1]. Group 3: Impact of Sora 2 - The release of OpenAI's new video generation model Sora 2 on September 30 has boosted confidence in the AI sector, particularly in multimodal applications, and has led to increased market interest in AI computing power and applications [2].