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房价都在跌,为何偏偏这里在涨?
虎嗅APP·2025-10-07 09:43

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the contrasting real estate trends between the small city of Dingbian, where property prices are rising sharply, and larger cities like Xi'an, where prices are declining. This phenomenon is attributed to local demand driven by factors such as marriage and education, despite broader market trends showing a downturn in many urban areas [4][5][10][16]. Group 1: Dingbian's Real Estate Market - Dingbian County has seen new housing prices exceed 5000 yuan per square meter by October 2025, a significant increase from under 4000 yuan per square meter in 2022, marking a cumulative rise of over 25% in three years [5]. - The county's real estate market is characterized by a high demand from two main buyer groups: those purchasing for marriage and those seeking properties in good school districts, leading to sustained price increases [10]. - The local economy is heavily reliant on oil and gas production, with Dingbian being the largest county in China in terms of oil and gas output, which supports the financial capacity of residents to invest in real estate [9]. Group 2: Comparison with Xi'an - In stark contrast, Xi'an's real estate market is experiencing a downturn, with the average price of second-hand homes dropping to 12,234 yuan per square meter by September 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 10.1% and a nearly 25% decrease over three years [6]. - The divergence in real estate trends between Dingbian and Xi'an raises questions about the sustainability of Dingbian's price increases, especially as the broader market shows signs of cooling [16]. Group 3: Future Outlook - There are concerns regarding the sustainability of Dingbian's rising property prices, particularly as new housing projects are set to be completed in the coming years, which may increase supply and affect price stability [15]. - Local residents express uncertainty about the future of the market, with some predicting a potential correction in prices due to the rapid increases observed [14].