国泰海通｜汽车：四季度新的成长动能有望持续涌现

Group 1 - The core investment suggestion is that embodied intelligence and computing power supply chains will be significant growth areas for the automotive industry in Q4, with EU carbon emission policies continuing to drive growth in the European new energy vehicle market [1] - The humanoid robot supply chain, particularly components, shows strong potential for catalytic emergence, with major automotive parts companies successfully transitioning to become key players in the humanoid robot supply chain [1] - If leading humanoid robot manufacturers like Tesla launch new products by Q4 2025, the market may adjust expectations for the humanoid robot supply chain shipments in 2026, potentially reaching a production volume of 100,000 units, leading to a market capacity of approximately 10 billion RMB for related components [1] Group 2 - The domestic passenger car market is expected to perform steadily, while the European new energy vehicle market is projected to be a strong growth point globally [2] - According to the China Automobile Dealers Association, the October automotive market is expected to show a "high open and flat" pattern, with a 5% to 10% year-on-year growth forecasted for sales in Q4 [2] - In Germany, September saw a significant increase in new energy vehicle sales, with pure electric vehicle sales reaching approximately 45,500 units, a year-on-year increase of 32%, and plug-in hybrid vehicle sales increasing by 85% [2]