当下的盘面是比较脆弱的

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that technical analysis is not inherently useless; rather, it is often misapplied or misunderstood. The current market signals indicate increasing risks, necessitating a reduction in stock holdings and positions [1]. Group 1: Market Analysis - Recent market movements show a divergence between the strong performance of the Shanghai Composite Index and the underlying technical indicators, suggesting a potential top divergence [1]. - The market's support relies heavily on specific sectors such as computing power, energy storage, and metals. A decline in these sectors could lead to significant market downturns [1]. - The brokerage sector is described as dependent on retail investor sentiment, with overall trading volume indicating a lack of substantial growth potential [1]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - The article notes that despite a recent volume breakout in the Shanghai Composite Index, there are concerns about the sustainability of this upward movement due to underlying divergence signals [1]. - The average stock price index shows a divergence in volume and price, indicating a potential peak in the near term [1]. - Market sentiment remains low, with most stocks experiencing downward pressure, while only a few sectors and stocks continue to show strength [1]. Group 3: Psychological Factors - Many investors are trapped in a mindset of expecting new leading sectors to emerge quickly, but the reality is that new leaders often arise from periods of correction [2].