光大证券研究·2025-10-12 00:05Core Insights - Tesla's global delivery in Q3 2025 exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 7.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.4%, reaching 497,000 units [4] - The launch of the standard versions of Model 3 and Model Y in North America has seen a price reduction of $5,500 and $5,000 respectively, with new starting prices at $36,990 and $39,990 [4] - Xpeng's sales surpassed 40,000 units in September, marking a year-on-year increase of 94.7%, while NIO's sales also showed growth with a 64.1% year-on-year increase [5] Group 1: Tesla - Tesla's global delivery volume reached 497,000 units in Q3 2025, with Model 3 and Model Y contributing 481,000 units [4] - The new standard versions of Model 3 and Model Y were launched at significantly lower prices, enhancing their market competitiveness [4] Group 2: Xpeng and NIO - Xpeng's delivery volume in September was 41,581 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 94.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.3% [5] - NIO's delivery volume reached 34,749 units in September, with a year-on-year increase of 64.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.0% [5] - Li Auto's delivery volume decreased by 36.8% year-on-year but increased by 19.0% quarter-on-quarter, totaling 33,951 units [5] Group 3: Market Trends - The upcoming peak season is expected to drive high order volumes for car manufacturers, with extended delivery times for several models indicating strong demand [6] - Tesla's delivery cycles for the domestic Model 3 and Model Y have been extended, suggesting increased order backlogs [6] - New energy vehicle manufacturers are also experiencing varied delivery timelines, with some models seeing shorter delivery cycles due to improved production efficiency [6][7]