Eastroc Beverage(SH:605499) 阿尔法工场研究院·2025-10-13 00:06Core Viewpoint - Dongpeng Beverage is pursuing an IPO in Hong Kong while facing shareholder sell-offs, raising questions about who will benefit from the financing dividends [2][15]. Group 1: Financial Performance and Market Position - Dongpeng Beverage has maintained the top position in China's energy drink market, with market share increasing from 15% in 2021 to 26.3% in 2024 [5][6]. - The company's revenue has shown significant growth, with figures rising from 85 billion in 2022 to an estimated 158.3 billion in 2024, nearly doubling in three and a half years [8]. - Dongpeng's net profit has also surged from 14.41 billion in 2022 to 33.26 billion in 2024, with 23.75 billion achieved in the first half of 2025 [8]. Group 2: Product Dependency and Diversification - The company heavily relies on its flagship product, Dongpeng Special Drink, which contributed 133 billion in revenue, accounting for 84% of total revenue in 2024 [8]. - Despite the growth of other products like Dongpeng Water, which saw a 280% increase, its revenue was only 14.95 billion, making up less than 10% of total revenue [8]. Group 3: Debt and Financial Management - Dongpeng Beverage has experienced a rise in total liabilities from approximately 68.05 billion in 2022 to 149.85 billion in 2024, with a debt-to-asset ratio increasing from 57.33% to 66.08% [10][11]. - The company has also engaged in significant financial management activities, holding 56.53 billion in cash and 48.97 billion in financial assets by the end of 2024, despite having 65.5 billion in short-term loans [11]. Group 4: Dividend Policy - Dongpeng Beverage has announced a cumulative dividend of 54 billion since 2022, with a payout ratio of about 60%, and plans to distribute 23 billion in dividends for 2024, reflecting a 70% payout ratio [12]. Group 5: Shareholder Activity - Following the lifting of the lock-up period in 2022, several shareholders have engaged in significant sell-offs, including the second-largest shareholder, who has cashed out 41.51 billion [16][17]. - Concerns have arisen regarding the implications of these sell-offs on the company's valuation and the protection of minority investors, especially in light of the ongoing IPO efforts [15][17].