贸易摩擦再升级,不过这次做好了准备!
雪球·2025-10-13 07:55

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing tensions between China and the U.S., particularly focusing on China's proactive measures in response to U.S. actions, especially regarding rare earth elements and high-end manufacturing capabilities [3][4][6]. Group 1: U.S.-China Relations - The conflict has escalated since April, marking a shift from a honeymoon phase to increased hostilities, with both sides taking actions [3]. - China's upgraded countermeasures, particularly in the rare earth sector, have provoked a strong reaction from the U.S., indicating the effectiveness of these measures [4]. Group 2: Market Implications - The market is closely watching whether the current situation will lead to a "taco transaction," suggesting that the U.S. may continue its previous strategies [5]. - The emotional market downturn is seen as a reaction to earlier disruptions in supply chains, but there is potential for recovery, differing from previous events [5]. Group 3: Industry Developments - China appears to have made significant advancements in high-end manufacturing, including developments in lithography machines, indicating a shift towards domestic alternatives [5]. - U.S. strategies, such as imposing 100% tariffs and EDA software controls, are viewed as outdated tactics, while China is building a more self-sufficient industrial system [6]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - The article suggests that the balance of power may be shifting, with China's global competitiveness improving and the U.S. having fewer options to exert pressure [6].