存储大厂：这波涨价，前所未见

Core Insights - The memory industry, including DRAM, NAND Flash, SSD, and HD, is experiencing a significant price surge due to strong demand from cloud service providers (CSPs) for AI and data center bandwidth expansion, marking an unprecedented phenomenon in the industry [1][2] - The chairman of a leading memory manufacturer expresses a conservative outlook on the potential for a long-term "super cycle," estimating at least four years of favorable market conditions [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Major CSPs are aggressively purchasing HBM, DDR5, SSD, and HD products, leading to shortages and skyrocketing prices across all four memory product lines [2] - The three major memory manufacturers are shifting resources towards higher-margin DDR5 and HBM products, with a minimal supply of DDR4 being maintained, as production of DDR4 is expected to cease [2] Group 2: Supply Chain and Production - The chairman highlights that the current demand is so intense that even major manufacturers are struggling to keep up, with significant purchases from CSPs depleting their inventories [2] - The expected long-tail effect of limited DDR4 supply is projected to last about two years, indicating a larger-than-anticipated supply-demand gap in the market [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The current boom in the DRAM market is anticipated to lead to structural changes, benefiting companies with product availability and production capacity, while those unable to secure inventory may face operational challenges [2] - The chairman forecasts that the favorable market conditions will persist for at least four years, with the upcoming quarters and next year expected to be particularly strong [2]