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Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in the A-share market, influenced by political statements and economic data, highlighting the resilience of China's export growth amid trade tensions and the potential for policy adjustments in the near future [1][4][5][6]. Economic Data - China's export growth in September exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 8.3%, surpassing the forecast of 6.6% and the previous value of 4.4%. Imports also rose by 7.4%, compared to a prior value of 1.3% [5][6]. - Morgan Stanley attributes the strong trade data to the timing of the Mid-Autumn Festival, which shifted from September to October in 2025, along with a low base effect [6]. Market Performance - On October 13, A-shares opened significantly lower but recovered slightly by the end of the day, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.19% and the Shenzhen Component down 0.93% [8]. - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 23,745.45 billion yuan, a decrease of 1,599.53 billion yuan from the previous day [8]. Sector Analysis - The article notes that sectors such as metals, rare earths, semiconductors, and banking saw significant gains, while automotive and non-bank financial sectors experienced outflows [22][30]. - The rare earth sector saw a surge, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up, driven by rising prices of gold and silver [8]. Policy Outlook - Goldman Sachs predicts that the actual GDP growth rate for the third quarter may remain around 5%, with expectations for the implementation of previously announced policies, but no new easing measures anticipated in the near term [7]. - Analysts expect that the current tariff suspension period may be extended beyond November 10, with limited concessions from both sides in trade negotiations [4][6]. Company Performance - Notable company forecasts include: - Jucheng Technology expects a net profit of 151 million yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 112.94% [20]. - New China Life Insurance anticipates a net profit between 29.986 billion yuan and 34.122 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 45% to 65% [20]. - Chuangjiang New Materials projects a staggering net profit growth of 2057.62% to 2242.56% for the same period [20]. Investment Trends - The article highlights that the main capital inflow was into the non-ferrous metals sector, with Baogang Group leading the net inflow [22]. - The article also mentions that the automotive sector saw significant net outflows, particularly from companies like BYD and Sailis [22].