Core Viewpoint - The luxury car market is undergoing a significant adjustment, with BBA (BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Audi) showing a differentiated performance: BMW is leading, Mercedes-Benz is under pressure, and Audi is catching up [1]. Group 1: Sales Performance - BMW is the only company among BBA to achieve positive sales growth, with global deliveries reaching 588,300 units in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 8.8%, and a total of 1,795,900 units for the first three quarters, up 2.4% [1]. - Mercedes-Benz's Q3 global sales were 525,300 units, down 12% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter, with a total of 1,601,600 units for the first three quarters, a decrease of 9% [1]. - Audi's Q3 global sales were 397,100 units, a decline of 2.5% year-on-year, with a total of 1,191,100 units for the first three quarters, down 4.8% [1]. Group 2: Market Challenges - The Chinese market has become a common challenge for BBA, with BMW's Q3 deliveries in China slightly decreasing by 0.4% to 147,100 units, and a cumulative decline of 11.2% to 464,900 units for the first three quarters [3][4]. - Mercedes-Benz faced a significant drop in China, with Q3 deliveries plummeting 27% to 125,000 units and a total decline of 18% to 418,000 units for the first three quarters, marking it as the largest market decline for the brand [5]. - Audi's sales in China showed signs of recovery through its joint ventures, with a 13.5% increase in sales for the first three quarters [5]. Group 3: Pricing and Competition - The pricing structure of BBA is under pressure, particularly in the 200,000 to 400,000 RMB price range, where domestic brands are challenging BBA's entry-level models [6]. - In the 200,000 to 300,000 RMB segment, brands like Zeekr and Tesla are offering better performance or value, while in the higher segments, NIO and Li Auto are competing for core customers [6]. - BMW has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025, expecting a pre-tax profit "slightly lower" than last year's 10.97 billion euros (approximately 90.98 billion RMB) due to higher-than-expected tariff costs and financial support for local dealers [6]. Group 4: Electrification Strategies - BBA's electrification paths are diverging, with BMW leading, Mercedes-Benz aggressively pushing, and Audi taking a pragmatic approach [8]. - BMW's electric vehicle deliveries reached 323,000 units in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 10% [8]. - Mercedes-Benz is launching a major product offensive with its new electric GLC targeting the luxury electric SUV market in China, while also building a cooperative ecosystem for intelligent driving [8][9]. - Audi is adjusting its electric strategy, focusing on a balanced approach between long-term electric goals and flexible product offerings, with plans for new electric models [11]. Group 5: Market Trends - The hybrid market remains a crucial support, with BMW's hybrid vehicle sales increasing by 8% to 152,000 units in Q3, while Mercedes-Benz delivered 96,000 hybrid vehicles, up 10% [8]. - The pure electric market is growing rapidly, with a year-on-year increase of 32.4% in September, surpassing hybrid and extended-range vehicles [8].
BBA失守中国市场，奔驰三季度交付量大跌27%