四季度决战，哪几家完不成年度目标

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is facing intense competition in the current market, with companies setting higher sales targets than the previous year, leading to potential overproduction and inventory issues [4][5]. Group 1: Sales Targets and Performance - Many automotive companies have set ambitious sales targets for 2025, but achieving these targets is challenging given the current market conditions [5]. - Among the companies analyzed, only XPeng has exceeded a 75% completion rate of its sales target, attributed to its conservative initial target setting [8]. - Companies like SAIC, Geely, BYD, and Xiaomi have also achieved over 70% completion rates [9]. Group 2: Market Trends and Consumer Behavior - The fourth quarter is critical for sales, especially with the upcoming tax incentives, prompting companies to accelerate new vehicle launches [5][12]. - Data from the "TQ Auto Flow" platform indicates a decline in foot traffic to dealerships during the National Day holiday compared to previous years, suggesting a potential decrease in consumer interest [14][16]. - The foot traffic data shows that some dealerships experienced lower visitor numbers than expected, with many consumers opting for travel instead of car shopping [14][19]. Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - For FAW Toyota, the main markets are Guangdong, Shandong, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang, with a notable decline in foot traffic during the holiday period [17][19]. - GAC Toyota's sales are also concentrated in similar regions, with a strong performance from hybrid and electric models, which accounted for about 50% of their total sales [22]. - Both FAW and SAIC Volkswagen reported lower foot traffic during the holiday compared to 2024, indicating challenges ahead for 2025 [24][30]. Group 4: New Energy Vehicle (NEV) Trends - NIO, XPeng, and Li Auto are experiencing growth in brand recognition and sales, with NIO achieving a total delivery of 201,000 vehicles by Q3 2025 [46]. - XPeng reported a significant year-on-year increase in deliveries, reaching 313,000 vehicles, but faces pressure on profitability and cost management [49]. - Li Auto's performance is lagging behind its ambitious target of 640,000 vehicles, with production delays affecting new models [51]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The competition in the NEV market is expected to intensify as traditional automakers introduce new models, potentially leading to price wars and increased mergers and acquisitions [54].