TACO快不灵了，A股免疫“关税恐吓”

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the TACO trading strategy, which capitalizes on the erratic behavior of former President Trump regarding tariffs, allowing investors to profit from market fluctuations caused by his threats and subsequent retreats [4][5][11]. Group 1: What is TACO Trading? - TACO stands for "Trump Always Chickens Out," a term coined by Robert Armstrong to describe Trump's inconsistent approach to tariffs [4]. - The TACO trading strategy involves predicting Trump's behavior, where market downturns occur after tariff threats, followed by rebounds when he retracts those threats [5][6]. - This trading pattern has become a recognized method on Wall Street, allowing traders to buy during panic and sell during recovery [5][8]. Group 2: Recent TACO Trading Examples - On October 10, Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese goods, leading to a significant market drop, with the Nasdaq index falling 3.56% and major tech companies losing approximately $770 billion in market value [6]. - Following a calming statement from Vice President Pence on October 12, the market rebounded, with Bitcoin and Ethereum seeing gains of over 2% and 7%, respectively [6][7]. - A similar pattern was observed on May 23, when Trump announced potential tariffs on the EU, causing a market drop, which was reversed after he postponed the tariffs [9][10]. Group 3: Market Immunity to TACO Trading - Analysts suggest that the market is becoming increasingly immune to Trump's tariff threats, as repeated instances have led to diminished effects of such announcements [11][13]. - The current geopolitical environment indicates that while tensions exist, the market's reaction to Trump's threats is becoming more rational and less panic-driven [11][12]. - The effectiveness of the TACO trading strategy may decline as investors grow skeptical of the credibility of Trump's threats, potentially leading to prolonged economic conflicts [13].