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国泰海通|计算机:做大做强上海智能终端产业
国泰海通证券研究·2025-10-16 12:24

Core Insights - The Shanghai Municipal Economic and Information Commission has issued the "Action Plan for the High-Quality Development of the Intelligent Terminal Industry in Shanghai (2026-2027)", aiming to strengthen the intelligent terminal industry with a target scale exceeding 300 billion yuan by 2027, including the establishment of over three globally influential consumer terminal brands and two leading enterprises [1][4]. Group 1: Core Product Development - The action plan emphasizes the acceleration of artificial intelligence transformation for various terminal products, including intelligent computing, robots, smart glasses, industrial terminals, and intelligent computers, to cultivate leading brands that can drive industry development [2]. - It aims to promote the intelligentization and industrialization of strategic terminal products such as computers, intelligent computing, satellite internet, and industrial terminals, while also enhancing the penetration of consumer terminal products like smartphones and robots into the consumer market [2]. Group 2: Key Technology Foundation - The plan highlights the need to strengthen the layout of edge AI chips and improve model performance, focusing on the rapid development of core chips like SoC and CPU across three major technology routes: X86, ARM, and RISC-V [3]. - It also calls for advancements in lightweight multimodal edge model technologies and the application of model compression techniques such as distillation, pruning, and quantization [3]. Group 3: Industrial Ecosystem Optimization - The action plan proposes the establishment of a large-scale production base for intelligent terminals in Shanghai to create an industrial cluster effect, attracting competitive quality enterprises and innovative companies [3]. - It aims to enhance the application of innovative intelligent terminal products across various sectors, including industry, education, healthcare, finance, and cultural tourism [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The issuance of the action plan is expected to accelerate the AI transformation of Shanghai's intelligent terminal industry, promoting the intelligentization and industrialization of various strategic and consumer-level intelligent terminals [4]. - It is recommended to focus on hardware supply chains related to intelligent computing, large models, robotics, low-altitude economy, and intelligent driving, as well as supporting software industries like AI applications and industrial software [4].