卡帕西：强化学习很糟糕，但其他所有方法都更糟

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) will take at least another decade, as current AI systems need significant improvements to reach their full potential [5][10][28] - Karpathy emphasizes that existing AI systems lack maturity, multi-modal capabilities, and the ability to learn continuously, which are essential for them to function effectively in collaboration with humans [8][9][10] - He critiques the current state of Large Language Models (LLMs), stating that they have cognitive deficiencies and overestimate their capabilities, requiring substantial enhancements [16][18] Group 2 - Karpathy argues that reinforcement learning is more flawed than commonly perceived, as it reinforces all steps taken in reaching a correct answer, regardless of their validity, leading to inefficient learning [20][21][23] - He believes that AGI will not lead to a sudden leap in productivity but will follow a gradual growth pattern, similar to the historical 2% GDP growth trend observed with the internet [25][29] - The lengthy development of autonomous driving technology is attributed to the high stakes involved, where even minor errors can have severe consequences, necessitating extensive reliability improvements [30][32][33] Group 3 - As a full-time educator, Karpathy aims to establish a leading-edge educational institution that offers a unique mentorship experience, focusing on personalized learning and advanced AI education [34][36] - He highlights the importance of tailored teaching methods, which current LLMs cannot replicate, emphasizing the need for human instructors to provide appropriate challenges to students [36][38]