贾可：中国新汽车，再度改变世界的机器

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the remarkable achievements of China's automotive industry, particularly in the fields of new energy vehicles (NEVs) and smart technology, highlighting its global leadership and the strategic importance of government policies in driving this transformation [5][8][20]. Group 1: Achievements of China's Automotive Industry - China's NEV production and sales have ranked first globally for ten consecutive years, with a projected market share of 38% by 2024 [15]. - In 2024, domestic NEV sales are expected to reach 12.87 million units, with a penetration rate of 40.9%, up from just 0.9% in 2015 [17]. - China has become the world's largest automobile exporter, with exports increasing from 1.08 million units in 2020 to an estimated 5.86 million units in 2024 [20]. - The number of NEV charging facilities in China is the highest globally, with over 17.35 million charging points expected by 2025, representing more than 70% of the global total [21]. Group 2: Underlying Logic - The development of NEVs is driven by energy security, environmental safety, and the automotive industry's significance to the national economy [24][28]. - The reliance on imported oil is high, with a projected dependency rate of 72% in 2024, prompting the push for NEVs to reduce this dependency [24]. - The automotive sector contributes approximately 6-7% to China's GDP, making it a crucial pillar of the economy [28]. Group 3: Top-Level Design - The Chinese government has established a "four-in-one" top-level design framework for NEV development, focusing on technological innovation, market cultivation, ecosystem construction, and infrastructure support [30]. - Policies such as purchase subsidies and tax exemptions have been implemented to stimulate early market growth [31]. - The "dual credit" policy has been introduced to balance the development of traditional and new energy vehicles [31]. Group 4: Realistic Foundation - China has maintained its position as the world's largest automotive market since 2009, supported by rapid economic growth and increasing consumer purchasing power [37][39]. - The historical contributions of joint ventures have built a comprehensive automotive supply chain in China, enhancing local capabilities [40]. - The complete industrial system in China supports the resilience and competitiveness of the automotive supply chain, with a domestic production rate of over 95% for key components expected by 2030 [41]. Group 5: Challenges and Opportunities - The automotive industry faces intense competition, leading to price wars that could undermine long-term technological competitiveness [45]. - Despite challenges, the industry is focusing on innovation and efficiency to meet consumer demands for smart and electric vehicles [46]. - China's automotive supply chain is highly integrated, allowing for rapid response and recovery during crises, such as the chip shortage in 2022 [46].