半导体产业链变局下的商业银行金融服务模式｜银行与保险

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the new changes facing the semiconductor industry chain, analyzing the characteristics of China's semiconductor industry development under these changes, assessing the financial needs of the semiconductor industry chain, and exploring how commercial banks can optimize their financial service models to support the industry [2][3]. Group 1: Current Changes in the Semiconductor Industry Chain - The semiconductor industry chain is experiencing new changes due to factors such as the post-Moore era, geopolitical risks, and tariff policies, leading to a need for commercial banks to optimize their financial services [3][4]. - The global semiconductor industry has undergone multiple shifts since its inception, with significant transitions occurring in the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s, resulting in a globalized division of labor [5]. - Since 2020, the stability of the semiconductor industry chain has been challenged by the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical risks, leading to a trend towards diversification, localization, and regionalization [6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Future Projections - The restructuring of global supply chains has led to increased local production, with countries like the U.S., Europe, and South Korea investing heavily in their semiconductor sectors [7][8]. - The semiconductor market is expected to see a significant recovery, with global sales projected to reach $630.55 billion in 2024, a 19.7% increase year-on-year, driven by demand for memory and logic chips [9]. - Long-term forecasts suggest that the global semiconductor market could exceed $1 trillion by 2030, with an average annual growth rate of 8% [9]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - Advances in technology are accelerating in areas such as process architecture, advanced packaging, and materials, with significant developments in transistor technology and new materials like silicon carbide (SiC) and gallium nitride (GaN) [10][11]. Group 4: Characteristics of China's Semiconductor Industry Development - China's semiconductor industry has established a collaborative model in design, manufacturing, and testing, and is actively promoting self-sufficiency in the supply chain amid global challenges [12][13]. - The Chinese government has implemented various policies to support the semiconductor industry, aiming to overcome technological barriers and enhance competitiveness [13][14]. - The domestic semiconductor market has become the largest single market globally, with sales reaching $182.38 billion in 2024, accounting for 29.45% of the global market share [14].