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【笔记20251022— 黄金:昨天游刃有余,今天连滚带爬】
债券笔记·2025-10-22 13:39

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges of following market trends, emphasizing that while it is easy to suggest going with the flow, it is difficult in practice due to human nature and fear of buying at high prices [1]. Market Overview - The market is experiencing a slight decline, influenced by rumors regarding new fund redemption fee regulations, while interest rates are showing a minor upward trend [6]. - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 138.2 billion yuan, with a net injection of 94.7 billion yuan after 43.5 billion yuan of reverse repos matured [3]. Interest Rates and Bond Market - The interbank funding environment is balanced and slightly loose, with DR001 around 1.32% and DR007 at approximately 1.43% [4]. - The weighted rates for various repos are as follows: R001 at 1.37%, R007 at 1.47%, and R014 at 1.55%, with R007 seeing a 1 basis point increase [5]. - The 10-year government bond yield fluctuated around 1.7575%, reflecting stable market sentiment [6]. Gold Market - Gold prices dropped over 5%, reaching around 4000 USD, marking the largest single-day decline since 2013, attributed to a cooling geopolitical situation and overcrowded long positions in gold [6]. - The article highlights the shift of gold from a safe-haven asset to a "risk asset" due to market dynamics [6]. Bond Yield Trends - The yields for various government bonds are as follows: 1Y at 1.4775%, 2Y at 1.5000%, and 10Y at 1.7000%, indicating a general upward trend in yields [8].