二手挂牌 | 9月京沪深杭大面积高总价房源挂牌显著上升

Core Viewpoint - The overall second-hand housing market transaction scale is expected to continue its fluctuating trend, with a gradual decline observed in September 2025 [2][11]. Group 1: Market Trends - In September 2025, the transaction volume of second-hand houses in 30 key cities decreased by 1% month-on-month but increased by 9% year-on-year, indicating a slowdown in growth momentum [2]. - The new listing volume in key cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen showed a month-on-month increase, while only Hangzhou experienced a decline [4][11]. Group 2: City-Specific Analysis - In September, Beijing and Shenzhen saw an increase in new listings, while Shanghai's year-on-year growth exceeded 20%. In contrast, Hangzhou's new listings fell by 41% year-on-year and 12% month-on-month, reflecting a steady decline in owner listing enthusiasm [4][11]. - The new listing volume in Beijing for properties priced below 300 million yuan and between 600-3000 million yuan showed a recovery in owner listing enthusiasm, with the 100-300 million yuan segment being the main contributor [7]. Group 3: Price Segment Insights - In the price segment analysis, high-priced properties (800-3000 million yuan) in Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen showed increased listing activity, while Hangzhou's listings for properties under 6 million yuan accounted for over 80% but saw a slight decline [8][11]. - The concentration of listings in the 600-800 million yuan and 1000-3000 million yuan segments in Hangzhou increased, indicating a shift in owner behavior towards higher-priced properties [8]. Group 4: Size Segment Insights - The new listing volume in the small (below 70 sqm) and large (above 120 sqm) size segments increased, with notable growth in the 50 sqm and below category in Beijing and the 50-70 sqm category in Shenzhen and Hangzhou [10]. - Large-sized properties (above 140 sqm) in Beijing and Hangzhou also experienced a month-on-month increase, catering to high-end buyer demand [10]. Group 5: Future Market Outlook - The overall second-hand housing market is expected to maintain a fluctuating transaction scale, with high new listing volumes indicating increased supply. However, the traditional peak season in October may divert some high-end demand to new properties with better value [11]. - The transaction cycle may extend if there are no significant price advantages for first-time buyers, leading to potential challenges in inventory clearance for older properties in urban and suburban areas [11].