“隐形冠军”神话终破灭

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the decline of "hidden champions" in Germany and Japan, highlighting the rise of Chinese companies as they increasingly dominate the global industrial landscape [6][30]. Group 1: Definition and Importance of Hidden Champions - The term "hidden champions" refers to small and medium-sized enterprises that are leaders in niche markets but are not widely recognized [5]. - Hermann Simon identified that these companies are crucial for the economic success of Germany, Japan, and the U.S. post-World War II, with Germany having 1,573 hidden champions, nearly half of the global total of 3,406 [9][12]. Group 2: Current Challenges Faced by Hidden Champions - The hidden champions in Germany are facing significant challenges, particularly in the manufacturing sector, which is experiencing a systemic decline [20]. - Germany's GDP fell by 0.2% last year, marking the second consecutive year of contraction, with the manufacturing sector, especially the automotive industry, seeing an 80% increase in bankruptcies since 2021 [22][24]. - Major automotive companies like Bosch and Volkswagen are implementing significant layoffs, with Bosch cutting 13,000 jobs and Volkswagen planning to lay off 35,000 by 2030 [22][23]. Group 3: The Rise of Chinese Companies - As German and Japanese hidden champions decline, Chinese companies are emerging as new leaders in technology and manufacturing, particularly in sectors like AI, robotics, and renewable energy [30][31]. - China has seen a rapid increase in its own hidden champions, with over 14,000 specialized small and medium enterprises and 300 identified hidden champions in advanced manufacturing and digital technology [42][40]. - Chinese companies are outperforming their German and Japanese counterparts in profitability, with a pre-tax profit margin of 5.7% compared to Germany's 3.6% and South Korea's 3.4% [40]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The article suggests that the traditional manufacturing strengths of Germany and Japan are at risk of being overshadowed by the innovative capabilities of Chinese firms, which are adapting more quickly to new technologies [30][34]. - The shift in industrial power dynamics indicates a potential long-term decline for the hidden champions of Germany and Japan, as they struggle to keep pace with the rapid advancements in China [42][44].