Core Viewpoint - The current valuation of the pharmaceutical sector is at a low level, with public funds (excluding pharmaceutical funds) having low allocation to the sector. Considering the positive recovery of macroeconomic factors such as US Treasury rates and the driving effect of large categories and varieties on the industry, the growth of the pharmaceutical industry is expected to remain optimistic through 2025 [10]. Market Review - The CITIC Pharmaceutical Index rose by 0.56%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.69 percentage points, ranking 27th among CITIC's 30 primary industries [7]. - The top ten stocks by increase this week included Jianfa Zhixin, Te Yi Pharmaceutical, and Bi De Pharmaceutical, while the top ten stocks by decrease included Tuo Jing Life, Xin Nuo Wei, and Shu Tai Shen [7]. Overall View and Investment Themes - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to see a blooming of investment opportunities, particularly in innovative drugs, medical devices, and the innovative chain (CXO + life science services) [10]. - The innovative drug sector is transitioning from quantity logic to quality logic, emphasizing the importance of products that can ultimately generate profits [10]. - The medical device market is witnessing a recovery in bidding volumes, with a focus on home medical devices and orthopedic procurement [10]. - The innovative chain is expected to see a rebound in domestic financing, with a long-term trend towards high growth in the CXO sector [10]. - The pharmaceutical industry is anticipated to enter a new growth cycle, particularly in the specialty raw materials sector, which is currently at a near ten-year low in valuation [10]. Chromatography Industry Focus - Chromatography technology is crucial for the separation and analysis of components in various fields, especially in biopharmaceuticals, where it plays a key role throughout the drug development process [16][19]. - The global biopharmaceutical market is projected to grow from approximately $503 billion in 2023 to $892 billion by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.5%-12.5% [24]. - The Chinese biopharmaceutical market is also expanding rapidly, with a projected growth from ¥262.2 billion in 2018 to ¥534.8 billion in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 12.61% [29]. Market Size and Growth - The global chromatography consumables market is expected to grow from $6.9 billion in 2023 to $9 billion by 2026, with a CAGR of 9.26% [37]. - The Chinese chromatography consumables market is projected to grow from ¥11.2 billion in 2023 to over ¥20.3 billion by 2026, with a CAGR of 21.92% [37]. - The global small molecule liquid chromatography market is expected to increase from $3.6 billion in 2021 to $7.7 billion by 2026, with a CAGR of 16.7% [30]. Domestic Industry Dynamics - Domestic chromatography companies are making significant strides in key areas such as chromatography media and industrial chromatography systems, accelerating the process of domestic substitution [44]. - The domestic chromatography media market is currently dominated by foreign companies, but advancements in domestic technology are enhancing competitiveness [44]. - The demand for chromatography products is driven by the need for cost-effective and reliable purification materials in biopharmaceutical production, where purification processes account for a significant portion of production costs [43].
华创医药周观点:色谱行业专题2025/10/25
华创医药组公众平台·2025-10-25 10:10