超4500亿资金回流,刷新近十年纪录!中国资产重估,股市迎来上升周期
雪球·2025-10-25 13:01

Group 1 - The article emphasizes that with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the implementation of moderately loose monetary policies by central banks, multinational capital will flow back, leading to a rising cycle in the stock market [3][4]. - In September, the overall surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales reached $51 billion, approximately 362.6 billion RMB, marking a historic high [5]. - The current account surplus was $63.9 billion, about 450 billion RMB, which is the highest in nearly a decade [10]. Group 2 - The difference between profit and cash flow is highlighted, indicating that while profits may appear strong, cash flow issues can hinder economic activity [18][41]. - The article discusses the importance of cash flow in resolving various economic issues, including local government debt and the overall economic recovery [22][40]. - M1 money supply is noted to be rising, which typically correlates with a bullish stock market, suggesting that the stock market's upward trend is expected to continue [25][29]. Group 3 - Foreign capital is observed to be selling domestic bonds while buying stocks, indicating a shift in investment strategy [31][38]. - The article mentions that the capital account recorded a deficit of $12.1 billion, with significant outflows in securities investment [34][35]. - The political factors affecting the capital market are acknowledged, but the overall direction is seen as positive [39].