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国泰海通|建筑:十五五规划大力实施城市更新,9月广义基建投资降8%
国泰海通证券研究·2025-10-27 11:33

Group 1 - The Fourth Plenary Session emphasizes accelerating the construction of a strong transportation nation and implementing urban renewal in the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on optimizing traditional industries and fostering emerging sectors [1] - The 14th Five-Year Plan anticipates the construction and renovation of over 700,000 kilometers of underground pipelines, with an additional investment demand exceeding 5 trillion yuan [1] Group 2 - In September, the total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 3.0% year-on-year, with a month-on-month decline of 0.4 percentage points [2] - Fixed asset investment decreased by 7.1% year-on-year, maintaining a similar decline compared to August [2] - Exports increased by 8.3% year-on-year, with a month-on-month growth of 4.0 percentage points [2] Group 3 - In September, broad infrastructure investment fell by 8.0%, with the decline expanding by 25.5 percentage points compared to the same month in 2024 [3] - Narrow infrastructure investment decreased by 4.6%, with a year-on-year decline of 6.8 percentage points compared to 2024 [3] - Water conservancy investment dropped by 22.4% year-on-year, while public facilities investment fell by 12.4% [3]