存款利率又下滑，存5年不如存3年

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing decline in deposit interest rates in China, highlighting the inversion of interest rates between different deposit terms and the implications for banks' funding strategies [4][5][8]. Deposit Rate Trends - As of September 2025, the average interest rates for various deposit terms are as follows: 3-month at 0.944%, 6-month at 1.147%, 1-year at 1.277%, 2-year at 1.367%, 3-year at 1.688%, and 5-year at 1.519% [6][8]. - The rates have shown a downward trend, with the 3-year rate being higher than the 5-year rate, indicating a persistent inversion in the interest rates [5][9]. Market Reactions and Expectations - The decline in deposit rates is anticipated by the market, primarily due to the continuous pressure on net interest margins, which have decreased from 1.52% at the end of last year to 1.42% by the end of the second quarter of this year [8][9]. - Analysts suggest that banks are likely to continue adjusting deposit rates downward to optimize their funding structures and manage the costs associated with long-term deposits [10]. Large Denomination Certificates of Deposit (CDs) - The interest rate advantage of large denomination CDs is diminishing, with average rates for various terms in September 2025 being: 3-month at 1.134%, 6-month at 1.318%, 1-year at 1.394%, 2-year at 1.356%, 3-year at 1.729%, and 5-year at 1.610% [12]. - The rates for one-year and longer-term large denomination CDs are becoming comparable to regular deposit rates, indicating a narrowing of the interest rate spread [12]. Structural Deposit Products - The average term for structured deposits has increased to 106 days, with an average expected middle yield of 1.59% and an expected maximum yield of 2.09% [13]. - Different types of banks show varying trends in structured deposit yields, with state-owned banks offering a higher average expected maximum yield compared to joint-stock banks [13][14]. Conclusion - The overall trend indicates a continued downward pressure on deposit rates, with banks likely to maintain a strategy of encouraging short-term deposits over long-term ones to manage their funding costs effectively [10][12].