央行重启公开市场国债买卖操作：申万期货早间评论-20251028

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has announced the resumption of government bond trading operations in the open market, indicating a shift in monetary policy to ensure smooth transmission and stability in the financial market [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy and Market Operations - The PBOC had previously suspended government bond trading due to imbalances in market supply and demand, but is now resuming operations as the bond market is performing well [1] - The PBOC will conduct flexible operations based on the needs for base currency issuance, considering market conditions and yield curve changes [1] Group 2: Precious Metals and Geopolitical Risks - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, have seen a decline as geopolitical risks, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, have eased [2][19] - Central banks globally continue to increase gold reserves, reflecting a growing recognition of gold as a safe-haven asset amid rising distrust in the financial system [2][19] Group 3: Oil Market Dynamics - The oil market is influenced by new sanctions imposed by the U.S. on major Russian oil companies, which may impact supply but the overall trend remains downward [3][14] - The geopolitical situation has led to fluctuations in oil prices, but the market is currently facing uncertainty regarding the future direction of prices [3][14] Group 4: Stock Market Trends - U.S. stock indices have continued to rise, driven by positive developments in U.S.-China trade negotiations, with significant trading volumes reported [4][12] - The domestic liquidity environment in China is expected to remain loose, potentially leading to increased investment in equity assets [4][12] Group 5: Economic Indicators - China's industrial profits have shown a year-on-year increase of 21.6% in September, indicating robust growth in high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors [7] - The PBOC's monetary policy stance remains supportive, with expectations of continued liquidity in the market [13]