市值风云·2025-10-28 10:08Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and strategy of fund manager Huang Hai, emphasizing his continued focus on the coal industry despite recent underperformance compared to the market index [3][6][18]. Fund Performance - In 2025, Huang Hai's flagship fund, Wan Jia Xin Li Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund, reported a year-to-date return of 9.14%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 9 percentage points [3][7]. - Huang Hai's management scale has decreased to just over 3 billion yuan, reflecting investor dissatisfaction due to underperformance [3][6]. Industry Analysis - The coal industry faced significant challenges in early 2025 due to high inventory levels and declining prices, but began to recover in the summer with increased demand during peak electricity usage [6][7]. - By the third quarter of 2025, coal companies showed signs of recovery, with major firms like China Shenhua and New Energy showing improved net profits [7][8]. Investment Strategy - Huang Hai maintains a high concentration in coal stocks, with 73% of his fund's net value invested in this sector as of the third quarter [7][8]. - Despite criticism, Huang Hai's investment style remains consistent, focusing heavily on coal and showing little diversification [8][12]. Portfolio Adjustments - In the third quarter, Huang Hai made minor adjustments to his portfolio, reducing holdings in certain coal stocks while increasing positions in gold mining companies, which performed well [14][15]. - The top ten holdings in his flagship fund include several coal companies, with notable increases in gold stocks like Zhongjin Gold and Chifeng Gold [15][14]. Future Outlook - Huang Hai believes that traditional dividend-paying cyclical sectors, such as coal, steel, and non-ferrous metals, will not be absent in future bull markets and will provide substantial absolute returns [16][17]. - The article suggests that long-term capital will likely increase allocations to dividend-generating cyclical assets as manufacturing capacity cycles clear [17][18].