国泰海通｜政策研究：中国五年规划的演进脉络——从“十三五”到“十五五”的战略转型与路径深化

Core Viewpoint - The article outlines the strategic progression from China's "13th Five-Year Plan" to the "15th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing a shift from high-speed growth to high-quality development, with a focus on "technological self-reliance" and "expanding domestic demand" as dual engines for a new model that balances quality, efficiency, and safety [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Evolution - The planning focus has transitioned from "ensuring speed and efficiency" during the "13th Five-Year Plan" to establishing "high-quality development" in the "14th Five-Year Plan," and now to "deepening Chinese-style modernization" in the "15th Five-Year Plan," highlighting a profound transformation in China's economic development stage and social contradictions [1][2]. Group 2: Fundamental Changes in Growth Drivers - The economic growth engine has shifted from relying on factor inputs to being driven by innovation and domestic demand, with "technological self-reliance" rising to the primary task in the "15th Five-Year Plan" and "expanding domestic demand" becoming a strategic cornerstone [2]. Group 3: Systematic Upgrade of Target Framework - The indicator system has evolved from focusing on "quantity and scale" to "quality and efficiency," and further to "systemic effectiveness and equitable welfare," with specific changes in economic growth targets, innovation metrics, green indicators, and social welfare goals [2]. Group 4: Modernization of Governance Concepts - The implementation mechanism of the plans has progressed from government-led initiatives to a better combination of "effective market and proactive government," further deepening into "multi-party collaboration and systemic governance," with an emphasis on balancing development and security [2]. Group 5: Comprehensive Development Model - The evolution from the "13th" to the "15th Five-Year Plan" clearly demonstrates a maturing development model that prioritizes quality, efficiency, equity, safety, and sustainability, which not only shapes China's future but also provides significant insights and solutions for global development [3].