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长安汽车丨2025Q3:25Q3毛利率环比提升 智驾、机器人发展提速【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究·2025-10-28 12:11

Event Overview - The company released its Q3 2025 financial report, showing operating revenue of 42.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 760 million yuan, up 2.1% year-on-year but down 18.6% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 540 million yuan, up 5.8% year-on-year and down 21.9% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Analysis and Judgment - Revenue Growth Driven by Increased Sales: The company achieved a total sales volume of 471,000 units in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.3%. New energy vehicle sales reached 272,000 units, up 81.2% year-on-year and 5.8% quarter-on-quarter. The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle was 90,000 yuan, a slight decrease of 3,000 yuan quarter-on-quarter. The launch of new models is expected to further improve sales and ASP [2][3]. - Gross Margin Improvement: The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 15.7%, unchanged year-on-year and up 0.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. Cost reduction efforts and economies of scale contributed to this improvement, with expectations for further enhancement as cost reduction initiatives continue [2]. - Net Profit Decline Due to Inventory and Exchange Rate Effects: The company's net profit for Q3 2025 was 760 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.1% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 18.6%. The increase in financial expenses was primarily due to exchange rate gains and increased interest income [3]. Strategic Developments - Establishment of New Group: In July 2025, the China Changan Automobile Group was established in Chongqing, integrating 117 subsidiaries, including Changan Automobile and Chen Zhi Group. The new group aims to create a world-class automotive group with global competitiveness and independent core technologies. Future plans include the production of humanoid robots by 2028 and flying cars by 2030, along with a strategic partnership with JD Group to enhance marketing and after-sales services [4][5]. Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to benefit from its electric and intelligent transformation, supported by Huawei's technological empowerment. Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 189.6 billion yuan, 209.5 billion yuan, and 233.5 billion yuan, with net profits of 6.31 billion yuan, 8.16 billion yuan, and 10.94 billion yuan respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.64 yuan, 0.82 yuan, and 1.10 yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 20, 15, and 11 times based on the closing price of 12.61 yuan per share on October 27, 2025 [5][6].