Core Insights - The article discusses the significant role of commodities in the current global economic landscape, highlighting the pressures of supply chain and manufacturing chain restructuring due to de-involution and trade frictions, as well as the strategic value of de-sovereignized assets [1] Group 1: Commodity Analysis - Understanding gold as a key expression of global de-sovereignized assets [1] - Copper prices are viewed as the new king of commodities in the AI era [1] - The completion of industrial de-involution and the revitalization of the new energy industry chain [1] - Traditional steel mills are undergoing transformation in the black metal sector [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The pig cycle is at a bottom, driven by both policy and market factors [1] - The economic changes reflected in the tire industry, focusing on rubber's de-involution and international expansion [1] Group 3: Agenda Overview - The agenda includes discussions on interest rate cuts and long-term narratives affecting precious metals [2] - Supply disruptions and macroeconomic fluctuations impacting non-ferrous metal price outlooks [2] - Insights into the new energy market under the backdrop of de-involution policies [2] - The dual influence of policy and market on the cyclical rotation of the pig industry [3] - Black commodity raw materials and large dry bulk freight market outlook [4]
分论坛：大宗商品与周期｜国泰海通证券2026年度策略会