【金融工程】海外风险缓和，风格切换概率提升——市场环境因子跟踪周报（2025.10.29）

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that after the release of favorable policies, the probability of style switching in the market has increased, with a focus on technology and manufacturing sectors as the main drivers of domestic development [2][5] - The equity market is expected to transition to a stable operation as new catalysts diminish following the implementation of the "14th Five-Year Plan," suggesting a potential reduction in growth momentum [2][5] - It is recommended to moderately reduce positions in technology growth sectors and consider switching to broader indices or low-volatility dividend stocks for a more stable investment approach [2][5] Group 2 - In the stock market, the balance between large-cap and small-cap stocks has been maintained, while growth styles have shown a tendency towards growth [7] - The volatility of both large-cap and growth styles has increased, indicating a more dynamic market environment [7][8] - The concentration of trading has slightly decreased, with the proportion of trading volume from the top 100 stocks showing a minor decline [7] Group 3 - In the commodity market, the trend strength of precious metals and agricultural products has decreased, while other sectors have shown an increase in trend strength [20] - The liquidity of precious metals, non-ferrous metals, and agricultural products has declined, indicating potential challenges in these markets [20] Group 4 - In the options market, the implied volatility has decreased, reflecting a calming of market expectations regarding tariff increases, although uncertainty remains as both put and call option positions have increased [23] Group 5 - The convertible bond market has shown slight recovery, with stable pure bond premium rates and a steady increase in the premium rates for bonds convertible at 100 yuan [25]