财报季有望推动美股再创新高

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that the recent surge in major stock indices is primarily driven by strong corporate earnings growth, with the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 reaching historical highs due to favorable inflation reports [1][2]. - Long-term market trends closely align with corporate profit trajectories, indicating that the recent index highs signal a bullish outlook for the market, as historical data suggests strong market performance in the following year [2]. - The current earnings season has seen a rare upward revision of earnings expectations by analysts, with 86% of reported earnings exceeding forecasts, and third-quarter earnings growth revised from 7.9% to 9.2% [2][5]. Group 2 - The S&P 500's forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 22.7, significantly above the 10-year average of 18.6, marking the highest level since the 2000 internet bubble [4]. - Current profit margins for S&P 500 companies are stable at 12.8%, close to historical records, and are expected to rise to 13.4% in Q1 and 13.7% in Q2 of the next year, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence [4]. - Notable companies such as Coca-Cola, Ford, General Motors, 3M, and Netflix have reported strong earnings, indicating robust economic performance that contradicts sentiment surveys suggesting otherwise [5][6].